Forecast 08/22

The wind observed at CR buoy and predicted by NAM model has shifted from downwelling to upwelling. The comparison is not very encouraging: both components of the wind has errors; but at least the trend is picked up by NAM model.

The cruise data from Barnes and Forerunner is streaming in.
The comparison is not bad, e.g. on Aug. 20 from 2-day ocean forecast. The surface salinity and temperature are reasonably predicted by the 2-day ocean forecast. However, CT casts reveal that the 2-day ocean forecast is generally too fresh along the vertical column (in this case, in the north channel. This is also consistent with CORIE station data, e.g. salinity at red26 from 2-day ocean forecast.