Forecast 08/20

The 2-day ocean forecast (and short-range weather forecast) indicate that the plume at the end of today is still going north due to the downwelling wind , albeit relaxed as compared to a couple of days ago. As we said in yesterday's blog, the 7-day ocean forecast suggests that the plume should have started going south today.

The Barnes seems to be around am169 right now (2pm Monday).
As we previously indicated, the ocean forecast seems to be doing better than the estuary forecast in the lower (from tansy) and upper (from tpoin) parts of estuary. Our experiences suggest that the ocean forecast tends to underestimate the near bottom salinity around am169 especially during neap tides. Some casts around this location should confirm this.